Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent affairs. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if it is exactly what your is actually asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 out of 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.
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